By KeithM
I attended the GT vs. UM game last night and was treated to the most dominant performance from UM since the 2007 TX A&M vs. UM game (another Thursday night game). The result of last night's game made UM's Thursday night stats 14 -2 in Thursday Night games and 10 - 0 at UM on Thursday Nights.
A few points worth addressing:
*UM stopped the run…COLD – GT racked up 472 yds last year...UM’s defense held them to 95 yds on the ground last night. DOMINANT
*The issue of how good Jacory Harris and UM’s offense is, is difficult to address. I understand the argument that UM has not proven itself recently the way the Longhorns, Trojans, Sooners or Gators have and therefore there is inherent doubt & question as to whether or not they’re the real deal. However, Miami has played 2 teams that were ranked in the top 20 of the country at the time of the game. Miami has put up some pretty gaudy stats in these 2 games. Obviously, if the defense is blowing through the O-line & getting after the QB(for any team), he is not going to look real good, but that then becomes the fault of the O-line and not the QB. A QB that sits in the pocket, unmolested for 2 games picking apart the secondary with open receivers is not necessarily a questionable QB, but rather, 1 component of an effective offense (read: good team). I say that a QB dealing with constant pressure and unable to find open receivers is a QB playing for a bad team. Sure: plays will need to be made when Jacory inevitably ends up dealing with a top ranked Defense but we may not see this until the end of the season.
*As would be expected, GT picked on Sam Shields, who has (frustratingly) been misused and underutilized his whole college career. Sam Shields is a senior who is now playing his 1st season at Corner for the Canes. He’s actually a backup who’s been thrust into the starting role due to an injury to UM’s starting corner, Demarcus Van Dyke. Sam is still learning the position and this has been evident in UM’s first 2 games. This is & was Miami’s weak link over the first 2 games but should no longer be a discussion as DVD is expected back next week at Va. Tech.
*Matt Bosher/special teams: WOW…this needs major work. Just ask FSU how important it is to hit your field goals: especially chip shots like the ones Bosher missed last night. I have no idea what happened but I’m confident that this Lou Groza award candidate will pull it together and get his shit straight.
*I actually went with a buddy of mine to a pre-season Gator Club rally in Ft. Lauderdale last season (free food & beer) and Urban Meyer said something that has stuck in my head since that night and is now applicable to UM. He said, “…we’re not a good team yet, but we’re working on it and at the end of the year, I think we can be a real good team.” As we now know, that was incredibly prophetic as the Gators went on to win their 2nd NC that year. I see UM in a very similar boat this year: last year was another tough year, but you could see some good things happening and the pieces were becoming more in place. This year, we’ve still got a very young team (approx 53 of 90 kids are freshmen or sophomores) but things are starting to click and I also feel that at the end of last year and through the summer, UM was not a very good team but these first 2 games are showing me that we are and can likely be a very good team.
*I'm not saying Miami will go undefeated as this is still a very young team, but going into the season, I thought an 8-4 season was likely: I'm now thinking 10-2 is likely while an undefeated season isn't completely unrealistic. A huge factor in this will be whether or not Sam Bradford plays on 10/3 (I think he will).
*UM vs. VT: UM has nearly scored at will so I like our chances in any game from here on out. The Defense took a big step forward last night and showed a ton of maturity from last year. The kicking game still needs significant work. Significant mention needs to be made about UM’s offensive line. This is a unit that’s only 6 deep and is starting a senior in Matt Pipho who is now starting for the first time in his career aside from filling in for injuries last year against Va. Tech. UM beat Va Tech last year 16 – 14 and Va Tech had Darren Evans at that time: they won’t have him this year. Tyrod Taylor is mistake prone. UM has 10 days to prepare for VT and should really be clicking at that time. It’s always tough to play in Blacksburg, but I expect a solid game again and a final score of 38-21.
*Offensive Coordinator, Mark Whipple: He will be gone after this year, or next year (at best). It’s beautiful watching what an experienced, sharp mind can do with talent. It goes to show how much of a waste, Patrick Nix was. Granted, Patrick Nix didn’t have the players that Whipple is working with, but my feeling (and untold others) is that he doesn’t hold a candle to Mark Whipple. Look for Whipple to be the Head Coach of a major D1 team or OC for an NFL team within 2 years.
*Unforced errors are UM's biggest opponent
*UNC toughest game after OK and possibly the only real test the rest of the year.
*Jacory for Heisman - why not? 70% completion. Right now - should be considered...we’ll see if UM’s O-Line can keep up their great performance. If so, and if Jacory continues this trend, tell why not…
*I assure you, the game wasn't as close as the final score - UM mostly ran on 2 drives inside the 10 (working on developing the run - could have scored on passing) - shoulda, coulda, woulda doesn't count
*Although I'd have liked to have seen UM hang 50 on GT, it was good to see that UM ran the ball the last 2 times inside the 10 and took a knee to finish out the game when we were deep inside GT Territory with over a minute to play.
*There is a lot of talk about UM as the media hype machine LOVES talking Canes whether it’s when they’re down or up. I’ve heard some people seriously mentioning the possibility of a shot at the NC (against UF???)… These folks have drank the entire pitcher of kool aid and are starting on the person’s next to them. Yes, the if the Canes were to go 3-1 or 4-0 and win the ACC, the BCS would love their strength of schedule and stats. However, there’s still a lot of football to play but I like the way it’s started off…
Friday, September 18, 2009
Miami and the ACC
Well KeithM nailed the score within 2 points. Pretty impressive. What wasn't impressive was Georgia Tech. I believe they are now 11-5 under Paul Johnson and based on their last two games I think that loss column is going to swell up a bit more this year. Sure they'll probably still beat the bottom half of the ACC but that'll probably put them barely over 500 and certainly WAY out of bowl contention.
Miami on the other hand... well they look good. I hate to say it because I'm certainly not a fan but I guess it makes it that much more relevant. Last week people were quick to praise Jacory Harris for his effort against FSU but you can't grab my praises after one game against a stumbling team. GaTech is no super defense and I still don't think Harris had to work that hard last night but nonetheless he has shown a very accurate arm and a pretty cool head. He should be thanking his offensive line and his receivers though because he's had all the time in the world to pass and his receivers have been WIDE open 90% of the time. Don't get me wrong, I do think he's good and I think he has the potential to be really really good; I'm just waiting to see how he reacts under pressure. If his O-Line and receivers keep playing like they have the past two games then I may not get to see him under pressure which Miami would be more than happy about.
Miami's next two games are at VTech and home against Oklahoma. Virginia Tech is the only other real competition in the ACC Coastal Division and possibly in the entire ACC (we'll see how Boston College looks against Clemson this week). So next week's matchup will likely determine the ACC Coastal winner. Even if Miami loses to VTech and Oklahoma the rest of their schedule is a cake walk and they'll end the season at 10-2.
Miami on the other hand... well they look good. I hate to say it because I'm certainly not a fan but I guess it makes it that much more relevant. Last week people were quick to praise Jacory Harris for his effort against FSU but you can't grab my praises after one game against a stumbling team. GaTech is no super defense and I still don't think Harris had to work that hard last night but nonetheless he has shown a very accurate arm and a pretty cool head. He should be thanking his offensive line and his receivers though because he's had all the time in the world to pass and his receivers have been WIDE open 90% of the time. Don't get me wrong, I do think he's good and I think he has the potential to be really really good; I'm just waiting to see how he reacts under pressure. If his O-Line and receivers keep playing like they have the past two games then I may not get to see him under pressure which Miami would be more than happy about.
Miami's next two games are at VTech and home against Oklahoma. Virginia Tech is the only other real competition in the ACC Coastal Division and possibly in the entire ACC (we'll see how Boston College looks against Clemson this week). So next week's matchup will likely determine the ACC Coastal winner. Even if Miami loses to VTech and Oklahoma the rest of their schedule is a cake walk and they'll end the season at 10-2.
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
GT vs. UM - Predictions
SteveB: It’s gonna be all about UM's defense. If they can stop GT’s offense, keep them under 21 points, I think they’ll win. Maybe pull out a 24-21 victory.
KeithM: Yup – I’m not worried about UM’s offense: we can score. But if the D allows GT to grind it out all night, then the offense might not have enough time to do their thing. They key is shutting down Dwyer and getting ahead early which will force them to throw. They can’t throw and both UM & GT know it. I really don’t see a repeat of last year if only because it was so bad last year. UM has had 10 days to prepare, so there are no excuses if they get run over. I think UM wins it going away, but you won’t really see it until the 3rd or 4th Q. 31 – 17 UM.
Stats of the week: UM is 13-2 in Thursday night games, 9-0 at home, and GT has won the last 4 games.
JakeB: This game is hard to predict. I agree that's it all about Miami's D. If they let the option run wild, they don't have a chance. They couldn't stop it last year and the defense certainly didn't look good against FSU. Also, I don't understand GaTech yet. They've blown huge leads in both of their games. It seems like a running team should only get stronger in the second half. I think GaTech has an advantage w/ the option and all they need to do is force one or two turnovers and run the shit out of ball.
SteveB: You make a good point. I didn't see their first game but I saw the game against Clemson. Technically they blew a big lead but their touchdowns were all hokie. It's not like they built up a legitimate lead and then crumbled. They got lucky a few times and then Clemson woke up and started stopping the run. If Clemson didn't have their heads in their butts to start the game they would have won that game easily. And by that token I give the edge to UM.
KeithM: Yup – I’m not worried about UM’s offense: we can score. But if the D allows GT to grind it out all night, then the offense might not have enough time to do their thing. They key is shutting down Dwyer and getting ahead early which will force them to throw. They can’t throw and both UM & GT know it. I really don’t see a repeat of last year if only because it was so bad last year. UM has had 10 days to prepare, so there are no excuses if they get run over. I think UM wins it going away, but you won’t really see it until the 3rd or 4th Q. 31 – 17 UM.
Stats of the week: UM is 13-2 in Thursday night games, 9-0 at home, and GT has won the last 4 games.
JakeB: This game is hard to predict. I agree that's it all about Miami's D. If they let the option run wild, they don't have a chance. They couldn't stop it last year and the defense certainly didn't look good against FSU. Also, I don't understand GaTech yet. They've blown huge leads in both of their games. It seems like a running team should only get stronger in the second half. I think GaTech has an advantage w/ the option and all they need to do is force one or two turnovers and run the shit out of ball.
SteveB: You make a good point. I didn't see their first game but I saw the game against Clemson. Technically they blew a big lead but their touchdowns were all hokie. It's not like they built up a legitimate lead and then crumbled. They got lucky a few times and then Clemson woke up and started stopping the run. If Clemson didn't have their heads in their butts to start the game they would have won that game easily. And by that token I give the edge to UM.
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